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OVERVIEW

Alts Climb All Week; Weekend Volatility Monster Looms ๐Ÿ‘พ

Before we dive in, hereโ€™s todayโ€™s crypto market heatmap:

Source: Santiment

And hereโ€™s a look at cryptoโ€™s total market and altcoin market cap charts:

Source: TradingView

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Things You Might Not Have Noticed This Week ๐Ÿค”

Total Market Cap

Total Crypto Market Cap Daily Chart - Click to enlarge.

The crypto marketโ€™s total market capitalization hit a new all-time high of $3.92T.

Proof-of-Stake Market Cap

Proof-of-Stake Market Cap Daily Chart - Click to enlarge.

The Proof-of-Stake Market Cap is up +115% from its April 2025 lows and, unless something crazy happens, it will close this week positive YTD for the first time this year.

Bitcoin Dominance

Bitcoin Dominance Weekly Chart - Click to enlarge.

On track to have itโ€™s worst performing week since January 8, 2025. Deeper dive than the prior swing lower, but not as bad as the -11.32% drop in Nov - Dec 2024.

Ethereum Ecosystem Market Cap

ETH Ecosystem Market Cap Weekly Chart - Click to enlarge.

ETHโ€™s ecosystem hit $900B this week. Itโ€™s all-time high is at $959B.

ON-CHAIN ANALYSIS
See Whatโ€™s In The MVRV-Z ๐Ÿ‘€

Quick reminder of what the MVRV-Z score is: itโ€™s a sanity check on price. ๐Ÿง 

  • It compares todayโ€™s market cap to the โ€œrealizedโ€ cap (what everyone actually paid for their crypto/tokens/).

  • Then it scales that gap by normal volatility and spits out a Zโ€‘score.

What The Chart Means

  • Around 0โ€ฏโ†’ price is about fair.

  • Above 3โ€ฏโ†’ folks are overpaying.

  • Below โ€‘1โ€ฏโ†’ itโ€™s in the bargain bin.

Bitcoin

Click to enlarge.

  • MVRVโ€ฏZ crawled fromโ€ฏ2.59โ€ฏ(Juneโ€ฏ2) toโ€ฏ2.90โ€ฏ(Julyโ€ฏ18), upโ€ฏ12%ish.

  • Every single day this period printed aboveโ€ฏ2, yet never crackedโ€ฏ3. Traders are excited, not hysterical.

  • Linear drift sits nearโ€ฏ0.006โ€ฏZโ€‘points per day - steady grind rather than parabolic launch.

Interpretation: BTCโ€™s nowhere near the historical danger zone ofโ€ฏ 7+, but itโ€™s inching that direction. If youโ€™re long, cool; if youโ€™re sidelined waiting for a deep value dip, keep the popcorn warm - you may be waiting a while. โŒ›

Ethereum

Click to enlarge.

  • Started negative (โ€‘0.07) and finished atโ€ฏ0.83. Thatโ€™s a 0โ€‘toโ€‘hero jump ofโ€ฏ>1โ€ฏZโ€‘point with a slope aroundโ€ฏ0.009/day.

  • Twoโ€‘thirds of the sample lived below zero; last week and into this week finally flipped decisively positive.

Translation: ETH just clawed out of the bargain bin and now trades at โ€œfairโ€ - not cheap, not frothy. Accumulation windowโ€™s closing, not slammed shut. ๐ŸชŸ

XRP

Click to enlarge.

  • The showโ€‘off: fromโ€ฏ2.05 toโ€ฏ4.50 in six weeks, +119%.

  • 14% of observations already sit aboveโ€ฏ3.

  • Prints keep making new highs, drinking straight from the euphoria punch bowl.

Takeaway: XRP is the only one flashing legit overheating risk. A reversal wonโ€™t surprise anyone except the bagโ€‘holders convincing themselves itโ€™s different this time. โŒš

Cardano

Click to enlarge.

  • Mean Z sits at โ€‘0.05, median negative as well. 62โ€ฏ% of days below zero.

  • Latest print 0.48 - the highest in the set and a ridiculous 8โ€‘bagger relative jump from early June.

Bottom line: It moved, but statistically ADAโ€™s still loitering near fair value. Anyone screaming itโ€™s โ€œoverboughtโ€ needs a new calculator. ๐Ÿงฎ

TL;DR

No chain here screams generational buy or catastrophic bubble - yet. BTC and ETH hover in the neutral middle, ADAโ€™s barely shrugged off undervaluation, and XRP alone pushes the upper tail. ๐Ÿชก

NEWS IN THREE SENTENCES
AI, Stablecoins, & Privacy News ๐Ÿ•ต

โš™๏ธ Reactive Smart Contracts Crash HyperEVM, Because One Chain Wasnโ€™t Chaotic Enough

Somewhere a DevOps engineer is Googling โ€œvacation policyโ€ because their automation pipeline jus Hyperliquidโ€™s blister-fast dual-block chain now speaks Reactive Network, meaning bots can fire cross-chain hedges the moment liquidation snacks appear. Universal REACT gas plus HyperBFT security turns perp-sniping and delta-neutral vaults into copy-paste jobs. t automated itself. Reactive Network.

๐Ÿช™ COTI Gives Aureus Gold-Backed Tokens a Privacy Cloak SWIFT Would Envy

Aureusโ€™ Hedera-native platform tokenizes real estate and private equity, then COTI wraps each transfer in garbled-circuit stealth to dodge MEV. AUg settles one-to-one with shiny bullion while staying ISO 20022 compliant for the bankers in the back. Congrats Wall Street, you just discovered privacy coins. COTI.

โœจ Sonicโ€™s Spark AI Builder Promises โ€œDescribe App, Receive DAppโ€

Type a napkin idea, Gemini cranks out contracts, frontend, self-debugging loops, and live deployment - all scored for security before it ships. No-code DeFi, NFT marts, whatever: Spark builds it and teaches you why it works if you bother to ask. Web3 devs may need a new hobby once non-coders start shipping faster than they can. Sonic Labs.

NEWS IN THREE SENTENCES
Metaverse, NFT, & Gaming News ๐ŸŽฎ

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Chiliz Packs PSGโ€™s Stadium With Hackers, Gives Out $150K and Swagger

236 devs from sixteen countries hacked Fan-Token utilities and SportFi DeFi at Parc des Princes, turning a football shrine into a code pit. Twelve winning projects now enter incubation under Chiliz, chasing glory alongside ex-players preaching Web3 gospel. I guess a week of Red Bull, Celsius and pitch-side selfies can recruit the next wave of blockchain builders. Chiliz.

NEWS IN THREE SENTENCES
DeFi, DEX, & Lending Protocol News ๐Ÿฆ

๐Ÿ“ก CoinRoutes Hooks Uniswap

DeFi rails just slid into CoinRoutesโ€™ dashboard, so traders can tap Uniswap and UniswapX liquidity while pretending they never left their compliance-approved workflow. The Uniswap Trading API dishes 4.6 bp better pricing across fourteen chains - laptop, tie, on-chain swap, done. Uniswap.

๐Ÿ“ฑ Curve Sneaks Into Telegram Mini-Apps

TACโ€™s EVM layer on TON now hosts Curve, so a Telegram handle is all you need to park stablecoins and farm fees on your phone. The pre-mainnet campaign lured $700 million TVL, and TAC is showering pools with incentives to keep the party loud. Welcome to the future where your meme group chat doubles as a money market. Curve Finance.

๐Ÿฆ Mantle Network Turns Two

EigenDA integration done, zkVM on deck, and URโ€™s crypto-fiat card aims to make Mantle the blockchain for banking rather than yet another DeFi sandbox. $MNT stakers grabbed millions in rewards, while hackathon โ€œCookathonsโ€ served bounties to 200-plus builders. Mantle.

๐Ÿ” Brave Search API Lands in AWS Marketplace, Feeds LLMs Fresh Web Junk

AWS customers can now bolt Braveโ€™s independent index onto their agentic workflows and skip the โ€œscrape Google, pray no lawsuitโ€ phase. Real-time snippets from 30 billion pages show up in Bedrock AgentCore without leaving the console. Being the only search engine not owned by an ad behemoth pays off when every startup needs grounding data yesterday. Basic Attention Token.

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Author Disclosure: The author of this newsletter holds positions in ADA, IMX, COPI, MIN, AGIX, ALGO, ZEC, XLM, and NEAR. ๐Ÿ“‹