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OVERVIEW

Huang In There Folks 🤝

Here’s What’s Happening 👇

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

2026 So Far: Bitcoin Had A Bear Market. Alts Had An Extinction Event 💀

Bitcoin's low for 2026 is $57,737, set July 1. That took it back to prices last seen in September 2024, a round trip of about 22 months. Unpleasant, but survivable - the kind of year where you lose a finger and keep the hand. ✂

Then I pulled the same number for the rest of the top 50 (stablecoins and exchange tokens excluded). I said to myself, "self, surely the alts can't be that much worse." Well, that was a dumb thing to talk to myself about.

So far in 2026, Bitcoin has had a bear market. The alts have had an extinction event.

Pain Has A Memory

Bitcoin's low sent it back 22 months. Here's the last time each of these traded as cheap as its 2026 low:

  • ATOM - March 2020. The COVID crash. Back when we were all wiping down groceries.

  • LTC - June 2020.

  • ADA - December 2020.

  • UNI and NEAR - November 2020.

  • AVAX and ETC - January 2021.

  • SHIB - May 2021, back when it was still a joke about a joke.

  • DOGE - October 2023, a three-year low it printed on Thursday.

How Far Back Each Coin's 2026 Low Sent It

The Body Count

Of the 40 coins in the top 50 with at least two years of trading history, 24 set a low this year that undercut everything from the two-plus years before it. First-class passengers on the Titanic had better odds.

24 Of 40 Coins Set A 2+ Year Low In 2026
  • All-time lows: DOT, ALGO, ARB, POL and ENA. There's no "lowest since" for these. There is no since.

  • What's left from the highs: Bitcoin sits 43% under its record. DOT is down 98%, ATOM 97%, ADA and AVAX 94%.

  • For scale: if DOT doubled tomorrow, it would still be down 97%.

What $100 At The All-Time High Is Worth Now

And how do the 2021 buyers feel about all this? Trick question. There aren't any left to ask.

The Cockroaches

Did anything survive? Sure. Something always crawls out of the crater.

  • 16 of the 50 are green on the year. ZEC is up 84% and HYPE is up 180%. The other 34 are red, and 39 are lower than they were a year ago.

  • NEAR hit a five-year low on February 6 and has quadrupled since, which is also the plot of every ESPN 30 for 30.

  • SOL, LINK and AAVE only got sent back to the second half of 2023. Around here, that counts as getting off with a warning.

  • Most of the wreckage is old. Only five tickers have printed a fresh 52-week low in the last two weeks. The other 45 are still above lows set in August or earlier.

So the bodies have mostly stopped piling up, with one exception. DOGE is the only large cap setting a multi-year low right now, and it's sitting 2% above Thursday's print with bulls looking nervous and bears smelling yum yum time. HBAR set a 52-week low the same day, its lowest since November 2024. Bitcoin would have to fall another 20% just to see its July low again. 📆

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NEWS
Crypto Treasuries Go House Hunting For Yield 🏠

$FWDI ( ▼ 5.22% ), the largest public Solana treasury, committed up to $50 million to USHP on Tuesday. That's the soon-to-launch token tracking U.S. home prices. Forward also grabbed a minority stake in the company behind it, plus warrants. 💸

So why does a $SOL ( ▼ 1.57% ) treasury want a piece of American cul-de-sacs? Forward spelled it out. Income from USHPi, the yield-bearing version, is supposed to:

  • Cover dollar-denominated fixed costs

  • Fund more SOL buys

  • Cut its "reliance on issuing new shares"

That last one's the tell. The 2025 treasury playbook ran on selling stock to buy coin. Now Forward calls itself the "Berkshire Hathaway of Solana," a polite way of saying the share printer needs a second engine.

Sharplink ($SBET ( ▼ 4.15% )), the $ETH ( ▼ 1.84% ) treasury, is in too, through its on-chain yield fund with Galaxy ($GLXY ( ▼ 4.95% )). That fund is one of the anchor commitments in USHP's up-to-$100 million launch round.

Catch? Two of them. U.S. investors can't buy USHP. And the "primarily housing-related" reserve assets producing that yield haven't been named. 🫠

NEWS
One Index To Rule Them All, And Four Flats In Tenerife 🏝️

Same week, opposite ends of the tokenized real estate barbell. On one end sits USHP and on the other, Brickken ($BKN ( ▼ 11.11% )) and aggregator UnitStake. They just kicked off their partnership with a first listing - a project converting a building in south-west Tenerife into four flats. 🏗️

So which model has the better shot? Allium pegs all tokenized real estate at about $100 million, out of $30.9 billion in onchain RWAs. Single-property deals keep hitting the same wall:

  • Every building needs its own legal wrapper

  • Prices come from periodic appraisals, not trading

  • Exits depend on a buyer pool the size of a book club

That last one is why UnitStake exists. Brickken says it's tokenized $660 million+ for 150+ institutional clients, and it still needs a comparison site to get eyeballs on deals. UnitStake doesn't endorse anything it lists.

Back in February, the whole sector logged 396 monthly active addresses. Four flats in Tenerife won't fix that alone. 🦗

NEWS
Wall Street's Weekend Is Getting Assimilated ⏰

$SECZ ( ▼ 7.4% ) and $ENA ( ▼ 4.07% ) switched on a weekend exit door for BlackRock's BUIDL today. Eligible holders can now swap the tokenized Treasury fund into stablecoins like USDC on a Saturday, with $50 million in the pool to start and room for $100 million. 🚪

Small? Sure. But it's one more brick in a bigger build-out. Wall Street's off-hours keep shrinking:

  • May 29: CME ($CME ( ▼ 0.12% )) took crypto futures and options 24/7

  • Late June: DTCC's clearing arm went 24/5 for U.S. stocks

  • Late 2026 into 2027: the national exchanges are expected to stretch their hours

  • Today: BUIDL gets a weekend exit

The weekend is being assimilated, Borg-style, one asset class at a time. Fun detail: CME's first 24/7 weekend did about $50 million in notional, the same as BUIDL's opening pool.

Who loses? Chartists. The CME gap is dead. For years, $BTC ( ▼ 3.12% ) traders stared at the hole between CME's Friday close and Sunday open, waiting for price to back fill. No weekend close, no new weekend gaps.

Who wins? Anyone who's been stuck on a Friday night. The October 2025 crash hit after the closing bell on a Friday. 🔧

NEWS
Polygon's Payments Push Has A POL-Shaped Hole In It 🕳️

$SOFI ( ▼ 3.93% ) bank-issued stablecoin, $SOFID ( ▲ 0.02% ), went live on Polygon today, per Polygon's announcement. It's the first stablecoin from a U.S. national bank and comes with 17 million+ SoFi members attached. It also joins USDC, USDT and PYUSD in Polygon's Open Money Stack. SoFiUSD already runs on Ethereum and Solana, so that's three chains in 11 months. 🏦

  • January: launched the Open Money Stack and announced roughly $250 million in deals for Coinme and Sequence

  • October: closed Coinme, a U.S.-regulated crypto payments firm

  • 2027: CEO Marc Boiron's target for the payments business to turn a profit

So where does that money come from? Currency conversion and moving money around. Boiron's stated goal is capturing the revenue that used to go to payment middlemen. Solid business plan. For Polygon Labs.

And for $POL ( ▲ 2.03% )? Every transfer still pays a little gas in POL, but cheap gas is the whole selling point. The announcement doesn't mention the token once. Meanwhile, POL is down about 56% over the past year, to roughly $0.085, which is a weird look for a chain that just landed a bank. 📉

NEWS
Anchorage Will Lend Against Your Gold. Gold Says ‘Huh?’ 🥇

Anchorage Digital will now let institutions hold, trade and borrow against $XAUT ( ▼ 2.46% ) at its federally chartered bank, per Anchorage's announcement. Clients pledge the token and borrow USD or $USDT ( ▼ 0.02% ) against it while keeping their gold exposure. 🔐

Timing's a little awkward. Spot gold topped at $5,598.75 in late January and sits around $3,880 now, down about 31% and at its lowest weekly close in a year. XAUT rode it down from a $5,504 high.

Anchorage didn't publish loan-to-value ratios, so here's some napkin math. Pledge one ounce at the January top, and your LTV today looks like this:

  • Borrowed at 50%: now about 72%

  • Borrowed at 60%: now about 87%

  • Borrowed at 70%: now about 101%, meaning the loan is worth more than the gold

To be fair, lenders like starting near the lows. Smaller loans, more cushion if gold bounces. Anyone who pledged at the top already found out what collateral does in a 31% drawdown. 🧮

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Author Disclosure: The author of this newsletter holds positions in AVAX, ADA, PUDGY, WLD, NEAR, INJ, LTC, LINK, ZEC, XLM, and FET. 📋